NAG Library Routine Document

G02MBF

▸▿ Contents

1 Purpose

2 Specification

3 Description

4 References

5 Parameters

6 Error Indicators and Warnings

7 Accuracy

8 Parallelism and Performance

9 Further Comments

▸▿ 10 Example

10.1 Program Text

10.2 Program Data

10.3 Program Results

1 Purpose

G02MBF performs Least Angle Regression (LARS), forward stagewise linear regression or Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) using cross-product matrices.

2 Specification

SUBROUTINE G02MBF (

MTYPE, PRED, INTCPT, N, M, DTD, LDDTD, ISX, LISX, DTY, YTY, MNSTEP, IP, NSTEP, B, LDB, FITSUM, ROPT, LROPT, IFAIL)

INTEGER	MTYPE, PRED, INTCPT, N, M, LDDTD, ISX(LISX), LISX, MNSTEP, IP, NSTEP, LDB, LROPT, IFAIL
REAL (KIND=nag_wp)	DTD(LDDTD,), DTY(M), YTY, B(LDB,), FITSUM(6,MNSTEP+1), ROPT(LROPT)

3 Description

G02MBF implements the LARS algorithm of Efron et al. (2004) as well as the modifications needed to perform forward stagewise linear regression and fit LASSO and positive LASSO models.

Given a vector of

n

observed values,

y = \{y_{i} : i = 1, 2, \dots, n\}

and an

n \times p

design matrix

X

, where the

j

th column of

X

, denoted

x_{j}

, is a vector of length

n

representing the

j

th independent variable

x_{j}

, standardized such that

\sum_{i = 1}^{n} x_{i j} = 0

, and

\sum_{i = 1}^{n} x_{i j}^{2} = 1

and a set of model parameters

β

to be estimated from the observed values, the LARS algorithm can be summarised as:

1.	Set $k = 1$ and all coefficients to zero, that is $β = 0$ .
2.	Find the variable most correlated with $y$ , say $x_{j_{1}}$ . Add $x_{j_{1}}$ to the ‘most correlated’ set $A$ . If $p = 1$ go to 8.
3.	Take the largest possible step in the direction of $x_{j_{1}}$ (i.e., increase the magnitude of $β_{j_{1}}$ ) until some other variable, say $x_{j_{2}}$ , has the same correlation with the current residual, $y - x_{j_{1}} β_{j_{1}}$ .
4.	Increment $k$ and add $x_{j_{k}}$ to $A$ .
5.	If $\|A\| = p$ go to 8.
6.	Proceed in the ‘least angle direction’, that is, the direction which is equiangular between all variables in $A$ , altering the magnitude of the parameter estimates of those variables in $A$ , until the $k$ th variable, $x_{j_{k}}$ , has the same correlation with the current residual.
7.	Go to 4.
8.	Let $K = k$ .

As well as being a model selection process in its own right, with a small number of modifications the LARS algorithm can be used to fit the LASSO model of Tibshirani (1996), a positive LASSO model, where the independent variables enter the model in their defined direction, forward stagewise linear regression (Hastie et al. (2001)) and forward selection (Weisberg (1985)). Details of the required modifications in each of these cases are given in Efron et al. (2004).

The LASSO model of Tibshirani (1996) is given by

\underset{α, β_{k} \in ℝ^{p}}{minimize} {‖y - α - X^{T} β_{k}‖}^{2} subject to {‖β_{k}‖}_{1} \leq t_{k}

for all values of

t_{k}

, where

α = \bar{y} = n^{- 1} \sum_{i = 1}^{n} y_{i}

. The positive LASSO model is the same as the standard LASSO model, given above, with the added constraint that

β_{k j} \geq 0, j = 1, 2, \dots, p .

Unlike the standard LARS algorithm, when fitting either of the LASSO models, variables can be dropped as well as added to the set

A

. Therefore the total number of steps

K

is no longer bounded by

p

Forward stagewise linear regression is an iterative procedure of the form:

Initialize

k = 1

and the vector of residuals

r_{0} = y - α

For each

j = 1, 2, \dots, p

calculate

c_{j} = x_{j}^{T} r_{k - 1}

. The value

c_{j}

is therefore proportional to the correlation between the

j

th independent variable and the vector of previous residual values,

r_{k}

Calculate

j_{k} = \underset{j}{argmax} |c_{j}|

, the value of

j

with the largest absolute value of

c_{j}

|c_{j_{k}}| < ε

then go to 7.

Update the residual values, with

r_{k} = r_{k - 1} + δ ​ ​ sign (c_{j_{k}}) x_{j_{k}}

where

δ

is a small constant and

sign (c_{j_{k}}) = - 1

when

c_{j_{k}} < 0

and

1

otherwise.

Increment

k

and go to 2.

Set

K = k

If the largest possible step were to be taken, that is

δ = |c_{j_{k}}|

then forward stagewise linear regression reverts to the standard forward selection method as implemented in G02EEF.

The LARS procedure results in

K

models, one for each step of the fitting process. In order to aid in choosing which is the most suitable Efron et al. (2004) introduced a

C_{p}

-type statistic given by

C_{p}^{(k)} = \frac{{‖y - X^{T} β_{k}‖}^{2}}{σ^{2}} - n + 2 ν_{k},

where

ν_{k}

is the approximate degrees of freedom for the

k

th step and

σ^{2} = \frac{n - y^{T} y}{ν_{K}} .

One way of choosing a model is therefore to take the one with the smallest value of

C_{p}^{(k)}

4 References

Efron B, Hastie T, Johnstone I and Tibshirani R (2004) Least Angle Regression The Annals of Statistics (Volume 32) 2 407–499

Hastie T, Tibshirani R and Friedman J (2001) The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference and Prediction Springer (New York)

Tibshirani R (1996) Regression Shrinkage and Selection via the Lasso Journal of the Royal Statistics Society, Series B (Methodological) (Volume 58) 1 267–288

Weisberg S (1985) Applied Linear Regression Wiley

5 Parameters

1: $MTYPE$ – INTEGERInput

On entry: indicates the type of model to fit.

$MTYPE = 1$: LARS is performed.
$MTYPE = 2$: Forward linear stagewise regression is performed.
$MTYPE = 3$: LASSO model is fit.
$MTYPE = 4$: A positive LASSO model is fit.

Constraint:

MTYPE = 1

2

3

4

2: $PRED$ – INTEGERInput

On entry: indicates the type of preprocessing to perform on the cross-products involving the independent variables, i.e., those supplied in DTD and DTY.

$PRED = 0$: No preprocessing is performed.
$PRED = 2$: Each independent variable is normalized, with the $j$ th variable scaled by $1 / \sqrt{x_{j}^{T} x_{j}}$ . The scaling factor used by variable $j$ is returned in $B (j, NSTEP + 1)$ .

Constraint:

PRED = 0

2

3: $INTCPT$ – INTEGERInput

On entry: indicates the type of data preprocessing that was perform on the dependent variable,

y

, prior to calling this routine.

$INTCPT = 0$: No preprocessing was performed.
$INTCPT = 1$: The dependent variable, $y$ , was mean centered.

Constraint:

INTCPT = 0

1

4: $N$ – INTEGERInput

On entry:

n

, the number of observations.

Constraint:

N \geq 1

5: $M$ – INTEGERInput

On entry:

m

, the total number of independent variables.

Constraint:

M \geq 1

6: $DTD (LDDTD *)$ – REAL (KIND=nag_wp) arrayInput

Note: the second dimension of the array DTD must be at least

M (M + 1) / 2

LDDTD = 1

, and at least

M

otherwise.

On entry:

D^{T} D

, the cross-product matrix, which along with ISX, defines the design matrix cross-product

X^{T} X

LDDTD = 1

DTD (1, i \times (i - 1) / 2 + j)

must contain the cross-product of the

i

th and

j

th variable, for

i = 1, 2, \dots, M

and

j = 1, 2, \dots, M

. That is the cross-product stacked by columns as returned by G02BUF, for example.

Otherwise

DTD (i, j)

must contain the cross-product of the

i

th and

j

th variable, for

i = 1, 2, \dots, M

and

j = 1, 2, \dots, M

. It should be noted that, even though

D^{T} D

is symmetric, the full matrix must be supplied.

The matrix specified in DTD must be a valid cross-products matrix.

7: $LDDTD$ – INTEGERInput

On entry: the first dimension of the array DTD as declared in the (sub)program from which G02MBF is called.

Constraint:

LDDTD = 1 ​ or ​ LDDTD \geq M

8: $ISX (LISX)$ – INTEGER arrayInput

On entry: indicates which independent variables from DTD will be included in the design matrix,

X

LISX = 0

, all variables are included in the design matrix and ISX is not referenced.

LISX = M

,, for

j = 1, 2, \dots, M

when

ISX (j)

must be set as follows:

$ISX (j) = 1$: To indicate that the $j$ th variable, as supplied in DTD, is included in the design matrix;
$ISX (j) = 0$: To indicate that the $j$ th variable, as supplied in DTD, is not included in the design matrix;

and

p = \sum_{j = 1}^{m} ISX (j)

Constraint: if

LISX = M

ISX (j) = 0

1

and at least one value of

ISX (j) \neq 0

, for

j = 1, 2, \dots, M

9: $LISX$ – INTEGERInput

On entry: length of the ISX array.

Constraint:

LISX = 0

M

10: $DTY (M)$ – REAL (KIND=nag_wp) arrayInput

On entry:

D^{T} y

, the cross-product between the dependent variable,

y

, and the independent variables

D

11: $YTY$ – REAL (KIND=nag_wp)Input

On entry:

y^{T} y

, the sums of squares of the dependent variable.

Constraint:

YTY > 0.0

12: $MNSTEP$ – INTEGERInput

On entry: the maximum number of steps to carry out in the model fitting process.

MTYPE = 1

, i.e., a LARS is being performed, the maximum number of steps the algorithm will take is

\min (p, n)

INTCPT = 0

, otherwise

\min (p, n - 1)

MTYPE = 2

, i.e., a forward linear stagewise regression is being performed, the maximum number of steps the algorithm will take is likely to be several orders of magnitude more and is no longer bound by

p

n

MTYPE = 3

4

, i.e., a LASSO or positive LASSO model is being fit, the maximum number of steps the algorithm will take lies somewhere between that of the LARS and forward linear stagewise regression, again it is no longer bound by

p

n

Constraint:

MNSTEP \geq 1

13: $IP$ – INTEGEROutput

On exit:

p

, number of parameter estimates.

LISX = 0

p = M

, i.e., the number of variables in DTD.

Otherwise

p

is the number of nonzero values in ISX.

14: $NSTEP$ – INTEGEROutput

On exit:

K

, the actual number of steps carried out in the model fitting process.

15: $B (LDB *)$ – REAL (KIND=nag_wp) arrayOutput

Note: the second dimension of the array B must be at least

MNSTEP + 1

On exit:

β

the parameter estimates, with

B (j, k) = β_{k j}

, the parameter estimate for the

j

th variable,

j = 1, 2, \dots, p

at the

k

th step of the model fitting process,

k = 1, 2, \dots, NSTEP

By default, when

PRED = 2

the parameter estimates are rescaled prior to being returned. If the parameter estimates are required on the normalized scale, then this can be overridden via ROPT.

The values held in the remaining part of B depend on the type of preprocessing performed.

\begin{array}{l} If ​ PRED = 0 & B (j, NSTEP + 1) & = & 1, \\ if ​ PRED = 2 & B (j, NSTEP + 1) & = & 1 / \sqrt{x_{j}^{T} x_{j}}, \end{array}

for

j = 1, 2, \dots p

16: $LDB$ – INTEGERInput

On entry: the first dimension of the array B as declared in the (sub)program from which G02MBF is called.

Constraint:

LDB \geq p

, where

p

is the number of parameter estimates as described in IP.

17: $FITSUM (6, MNSTEP + 1)$ – REAL (KIND=nag_wp) arrayOutput

On exit: summaries of the model fitting process. When

k = 1, 2, \dots, NSTEP

$FITSUM (1, k)$: ${‖β_{k}‖}_{1}$ , the sum of the absolute values of the parameter estimates for the $k$ th step of the modelling fitting process. If $PRED = 2$ , the scaled parameter estimates are used in the summation.
$FITSUM (2, k)$: ${RSS}_{k}$ , the residual sums of squares for the $k$ th step, where ${RSS}_{k} = {‖y - X^{T} β_{k}‖}^{2}$ .
$FITSUM (3, k)$: $ν_{k}$ , approximate degrees of freedom for the $k$ th step.
$FITSUM (4, k)$: $C_{p}^{(k)}$ , a $C_{p}$ -type statistic for the $k$ th step, where $C_{p}^{(k)} = \frac{{RSS}_{k}}{σ^{2}} - n + 2 ν_{k}$ .
$FITSUM (5, k)$: ${\hat{C}}_{k}$ , correlation between the residual at step $k - 1$ and the most correlated variable not yet in the active set $A$ , where the residual at step $0$ is $y$ .
$FITSUM (6, k)$: ${\hat{γ}}_{k}$ , the step size used at step $k$ .

In addition

$FITSUM (1, NSTEP + 1)$: $0$ .
$FITSUM (2, NSTEP + 1)$: ${RSS}_{0}$ , the residual sums of squares for the null model, where ${RSS}_{0} = y^{T} y$ .
$FITSUM (3, NSTEP + 1)$: $ν_{0}$ , the degrees of freedom for the null model, where $ν_{0} = 0$ if $INTCPT = 0$ and $ν_{0} = 1$ otherwise.
$FITSUM (4, NSTEP + 1)$: $C_{p}^{(0)}$ , a $C_{p}$ -type statistic for the null model, where $C_{p}^{(0)} = \frac{{RSS}_{0}}{σ^{2}} - n + 2 ν_{0}$ .
$FITSUM (5, NSTEP + 1)$: $σ^{2}$ , where $σ^{2} = \frac{n - {RSS}_{K}}{ν_{K}}$ and $K = NSTEP$ .

Although the

C_{p}

statistics described above are returned when

IFAIL = 122

they may not be meaningful due to the estimate

σ^{2}

not being based on the saturated model.

18: $ROPT (LROPT)$ – REAL (KIND=nag_wp) arrayInput

On entry: optional parameters to control various aspects of the LARS algorithm.

The default value will be used for

ROPT (i)

LROPT < i

, therefore setting

LROPT = 0

will use the default values for all optional arguments and ROPT need not be set. The default value will also be used if an invalid value is supplied for a particular argument, for example, setting

ROPT (i) = - 1

will use the default value for argument

i

$ROPT (1)$: The minimum step size that will be taken.
Default is $100 \times eps$ is used, where $eps$ is the machine precision returned by X02AJF.
$ROPT (2)$: General tolerance, used amongst other things, for comparing correlations.
Default is $ROPT (1)$ .
$ROPT (3)$: If set to $1$ then parameter estimates are rescaled before being returned. If set to $0$ then no rescaling is performed. This argument has no effect when $PRED = 0$ .
Default is for the parameter estimates to be rescaled.

Constraints:

$ROPT (1) > machine precision$ ;
$ROPT (2) > machine precision$ .

19: $LROPT$ – INTEGERInput

On entry: length of the options array ROPT.

Constraint:

0 \leq LROPT \leq 3

20: $IFAIL$ – INTEGERInput/Output

On entry: IFAIL must be set to

0

- 1 ​ or ​ 1

. If you are unfamiliar with this parameter you should refer to Section 3.3 in the Essential Introduction for details.

For environments where it might be inappropriate to halt program execution when an error is detected, the value

- 1 ​ or ​ 1

is recommended. If the output of error messages is undesirable, then the value

1

is recommended. Otherwise, because for this routine the values of the output parameters may be useful even if

IFAIL \neq 0

on exit, the recommended value is

- 1

. When the value $- 1 or 1$ is used it is essential to test the value of IFAIL on exit.

On exit:

IFAIL = 0

unless the routine detects an error or a warning has been flagged (see Section 6).

6 Error Indicators and Warnings

If on entry

IFAIL = 0

- 1

, explanatory error messages are output on the current error message unit (as defined by X04AAF).

Note: G02MBF may return useful information for one or more of the following detected errors or warnings.

Errors or warnings detected by the routine:

$IFAIL = 11$: On entry, $MTYPE = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $MTYPE = 1$ , $2$ , $3$ or $4$ .

$IFAIL = 21$: On entry, $PRED = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $PRED = 0$ or $2$ .

$IFAIL = 31$: On entry, $INTCPT = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $INTCPT = 0$ or $1$ .

$IFAIL = 41$: On entry, $N = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $N \geq 1$ .

$IFAIL = 51$: On entry, $M = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $M \geq 1$ .

$IFAIL = 61$: The cross-product matrix supplied in DTD is not symmetric.

$IFAIL = 62$: On entry, $DTD (1, 〈value〉) = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: diagonal elements of $D^{T} D$ must be positive.

On entry, $i = 〈value〉$ and $DTD (i, i) = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: diagonal elements of $D^{T} D$ must be positive.

$IFAIL = 71$: On entry, $LDDTD = 〈value〉$ and $M = 〈value〉$
Constraint: $LDDTD = 1 or LDDTD \geq M$ .

$IFAIL = 81$: On entry, $ISX (〈value〉) = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $ISX (i) = 0$ or $1$ for all $i$ .

$IFAIL = 82$: On entry, all values of ISX are zero.
Constraint: at least one value of ISX must be nonzero.

$IFAIL = 91$: On entry, $LISX = 〈value〉$ and $M = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $LISX = 0$ or $M$ .

$IFAIL = 111$: On entry, $YTY = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $YTY > 0.0$ .

$IFAIL = 112$: A negative value for the residual sums of squares was obtained. Check the values of DTD, DTY and YTY.

$IFAIL = 121$: On entry, $MNSTEP = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $MNSTEP \geq 1$ .

$IFAIL = 122$: Fitting process did not finished in MNSTEP steps. Try increasing the size of MNSTEP and supplying larger output arrays.
All output is returned as documented, up to step MNSTEP, however, $σ$ and the $C_{p}$ statistics may not be meaningful.

$IFAIL = 161$: On entry, $LDB = 〈value〉$ and $M = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: if $LISX = 0$ then $LDB \geq M$ .

$IFAIL = 162$: On entry, $LDB = 〈value〉$ and $p = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: if $LISX = M$ , $LDB \geq p$ .

$IFAIL = 171$: $σ^{2}$ is approximately zero and hence the $C_{p}$ -type criterion cannot be calculated. All other output is returned as documented.

$IFAIL = 172$: $ν_{K} = n$ , therefore sigma has been set to a large value. Output is returned as documented.

$IFAIL = 173$: Degenerate model, no variables added and $NSTEP = 0$ . Output is returned as documented.

$IFAIL = 191$: On entry, $LROPT = 〈value〉$ .
Constraint: $0 \leq LROPT \leq 3$ .

$IFAIL = - 99$: An unexpected error has been triggered by this routine. Please contact NAG.
See Section 3.8 in the Essential Introduction for further information.

$IFAIL = - 399$: Your licence key may have expired or may not have been installed correctly.
See Section 3.7 in the Essential Introduction for further information.

$IFAIL = - 999$: Dynamic memory allocation failed.
See Section 3.6 in the Essential Introduction for further information.

7 Accuracy

Not applicable.

8 Parallelism and Performance

G02MBF is threaded by NAG for parallel execution in multithreaded implementations of the NAG Library.

G02MBF makes calls to BLAS and/or LAPACK routines, which may be threaded within the vendor library used by this implementation. Consult the documentation for the vendor library for further information.

Please consult the X06 Chapter Introduction for information on how to control and interrogate the OpenMP environment used within this routine. Please also consult the Users' Note for your implementation for any additional implementation-specific information.

9 Further Comments

The solution path to the LARS, LASSO and stagewise regression analysis is a continuous, piecewise linear. G02MBF returns the parameter estimates at various points along this path. G02MCF can be used to obtain estimates at different points along the path.

If you have the raw data values, that is

D

and

y

, then G02MAF can be used instead of G02MBF.

10 Example

This example performs a LARS on a simulated dataset with

20

observations and

6

independent variables.

The example uses G02BUF to get the cross-products of the augmented matrix

[D y]

. The first

m (m + 1) / 2

elements of the (column packed) cross-products matrix returned therefore contain the elements of

D^{T} D

, the next

m

elements contain

D^{T} y

and the last element

y^{T} y

This example plot shows the regression coefficients (

β_{k}

) plotted against the scaled absolute sum of the parameter estimates (

{‖β_{k}‖}_{1}

G02MBF (PDF version)

G02 Chapter Contents

G02 Chapter Introduction

NAG Library Manual

NAG Library Routine DocumentG02MBF

▸▿ Contents

1 Purpose

2 Specification

3 Description

4 References

5 Parameters

6 Error Indicators and Warnings

7 Accuracy

8 Parallelism and Performance

9 Further Comments

10 Example

10.1 Program Text

10.2 Program Data

10.3 Program Results

NAG Library Routine Document

G02MBF