nag_tsa_uni_smooth_exp (g13amc) Example Program Results Initial values used: 1 168.018 2 3.800 Mean Deviation = 2.5473e+01 Absolute Deviation = 2.1233e+01 Observed 1-Step Period Values Forecast Residual 1 180.000 171.818 8.182 2 135.000 175.782 -40.782 3 213.000 178.848 34.152 4 181.000 183.005 -2.005 5 148.000 186.780 -38.780 6 204.000 189.800 14.200 7 228.000 193.492 34.508 8 225.000 197.732 27.268 9 198.000 202.172 -4.172 10 200.000 206.256 -6.256 11 187.000 210.256 -23.256 Forecast Standard Period Values Errors 12 213.854 25.473 13 217.685 25.478 14 221.516 25.490 15 225.346 25.510 16 229.177 25.542