G05PFF generates a given number of terms of a GJR
process (see
Glosten et al. (1993)).
A GJR
process is represented by:
where
if
,
if
, and
or
. Here
is a standardized Student's
-distribution with
degrees of freedom and variance
,
is the number of observations in the sequence,
is the observed value of the
process at time
,
is the conditional variance at time
, and
the set of all information up to time
. Symmetric GARCH sequences are generated when
is zero, otherwise asymmetric GARCH sequences are generated with
specifying the amount by which negative shocks are to be enhanced.
One of the initialization routines
G05KFF (for a repeatable sequence if computed sequentially) or
G05KGF (for a non-repeatable sequence) must be called prior to the first call to G05PFF.
Engle R (1982) Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation Econometrica 50 987–1008
Glosten L, Jagannathan R and Runkle D (1993) Relationship between the expected value and the volatility of nominal excess return on stocks Journal of Finance 48 1779–1801
- 1: DIST – CHARACTER(1)Input
On entry: the type of distribution to use for
.
- A Normal distribution is used.
- A Student's -distribution is used.
Constraint:
or .
- 2: NUM – INTEGERInput
On entry: , the number of terms in the sequence.
Constraint:
.
- 3: IP – INTEGERInput
On entry: the number of coefficients,
, for .
Constraint:
.
- 4: IQ – INTEGERInput
On entry: the number of coefficients,
, for .
Constraint:
.
- 5: THETA() – REAL (KIND=nag_wp) arrayInput
On entry: the first element must contain the coefficient
, the next
IQ elements must contain the coefficients
, for
. The remaining
IP elements must contain the coefficients
, for
.
Constraints:
- ;
- , for and .
- 6: GAMMA – REAL (KIND=nag_wp)Input
On entry: the asymmetry parameter for the sequence.
Constraint:
, for .
- 7: DF – INTEGERInput
On entry: the number of degrees of freedom for the Student's
-distribution.
If
,
DF is not referenced.
Constraint:
if , .
- 8: HT(NUM) – REAL (KIND=nag_wp) arrayOutput
On exit: the conditional variances
, for , for the sequence.
- 9: ET(NUM) – REAL (KIND=nag_wp) arrayOutput
On exit: the observations
, for , for the sequence.
- 10: FCALL – LOGICALInput
On entry: if
, a new sequence is to be generated, otherwise a given sequence is to be continued using the information in
R.
- 11: R(LR) – REAL (KIND=nag_wp) arrayInput/Output
On entry: the array contains information required to continue a sequence if .
On exit: contains information that can be used in a subsequent call of G05PFF, with .
- 12: LR – INTEGERInput
On entry: the dimension of the array
R as declared in the (sub)program from which G05PFF is called.
Constraint:
.
- 13: STATE() – INTEGER arrayCommunication Array
-
Note: the actual argument supplied must be the array
STATE supplied to the initialization routines
G05KFF or
G05KGF.
On entry: contains information on the selected base generator and its current state.
On exit: contains updated information on the state of the generator.
- 14: IFAIL – INTEGERInput/Output
-
On entry:
IFAIL must be set to
,
. If you are unfamiliar with this parameter you should refer to
Section 3.3 in the Essential Introduction for details.
For environments where it might be inappropriate to halt program execution when an error is detected, the value
is recommended. If the output of error messages is undesirable, then the value
is recommended. Otherwise, if you are not familiar with this parameter, the recommended value is
.
When the value is used it is essential to test the value of IFAIL on exit.
On exit:
unless the routine detects an error or a warning has been flagged (see
Section 6).
If on entry
or
, explanatory error messages are output on the current error message unit (as defined by
X04AAF).
Not applicable.
None.
This example first calls
G05KFF to initialize a base generator then calls G05PFF to generate two realisations, each consisting of ten observations, from a GJR
model.